@HotlineJosh @kkondik @SeanTrende what is the structural firewall, especially in a mail-in state? Public-sector unions?
— John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) April 23, 2014The above is in reference to Oregon.
I have a theory. Let's leave aside the who (be it SIEU, or whoever) is involved in any structural advantage. The fruits of GOTV efforts result, in part, from the man-hours expended. There are a limited number of bodies available to throw at the task, so to increase the man-hours you extend the voting time window. The party that gets the most benefit from GOTV efforts therefore benefits more from extended windows.
Tied in with this, I believe GOTV efforts generally are more favorable to Democrats, due to the fact that urban areas, with their higher population densities, tend to favor them. Higher population densities mean less ground to cover for ground-level GOTV efforts, which makes them more efficient in those areas.
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